15:10 Hamilton 7 Jun 2017
Hamilton Park Supporting Racing To School Handicap (Class 6) (4YO plus) 1M 5F 16Y
I’m expecting the going to get softer at Hamilton and that needs to enter our equations for this one. HIGH EXPECTATIONS heads into this race with exactly that on his shoulders. The six year old has a great mark and goes well at this trip. However, he’s likely to open and go off at a fairly sharp price so in terms of value we’ll need to look elsewhere. With the weather as it’s been, there could be a good value play in this line up in the form of TED’S BROTHER. Laura Morgan’s inmate returned from a short break LTO over a trip which may not have suited. If that run is forgiven then the earlier form of this year 5323 starts look quite good in the context of this race. We know that this horse gets the softer ground all day long and this trip is much more suitable. There aren’t any stellar stats for either trainer or jockey at the moment, but given that apart from the favourite this appears to be an open race, it looks like there could be a nice play for the selection.
TED’S BROTHER 0.5 pts e/w 16/1 Generally Available
16:10 Hamilton 7 Jun 2017
Weatherbys Hamiltonian Handicap (Class 4) (4YO plus) 1M 1F 35Y
I’ve no doubt that CARNAGEO will be popular in the betting market and they certainly have the right trainer/jockey combination to back this up with. That said, there looks to be a really progressive type hidden in here at the top of the weights. TOBOGGAN’S FIRE is upped a stone from her last appearance at this course and if the going were anything other than soft with lots more rain forecast, I’d probably leave the selection alone in this one. However, with conditions as they are, there is a good play for this horse in this one. She’s won twice over just further than the mile and in the same class. Her last victory in March was only 9lbs lower than her assignment today – and in this one the additional weight could be of use to her. There’s some good value in this selection with solid each way claims and at the least the chance of mixing it towards the line.
TOBOGGAN’S FIRE 0.5 pts e/w 14/1 Generally Available
20:05 Ripon 7 Jun 2017
Directors Cup Handicap (Class 3) (4YO plus) 6F
JORDON SPORT has been in good form and this race looks like it could be an opportunity for him to run really well. He’s a really tempting option but looks like he’s weighted just about right here. PIPERS NOTE is another horse worth mentioning and we could expect him to give a good account of himself in this one. However, there is another runner in here that looks set up to run a cracker given their treatment and thus gets the vote. FLYING PURSUIT has a good C&D strike rate and good strike rate over this distance. The gelding looks to be heading in the right way form-wise and with his treatment here looks to have the biggest run in him from these. The softer going should suit perfectly and his middle draw is a slight positive. All in all there are quite a few positives for the selection and he represents good each way value in the very least.
FLYING PURSUIT 0.5 pts e/w 15/2 Available Betfair
16:20 Wolverhampton (A.W.) 7 Jun 2017
Contact Us At fclgf.com Handicap (Class 4) (4YO plus) 7F 36Y
TAVENER is turning into a very consistent performer and given his entry here, he looks sets to continue with the kind of form that has seen him place six times and win three times from his sixteen starts this year. He steps up to Class 4 for the first time, but this look like an opportunity as good as any for him to frank the promise of his runs so far this year. There are dangers aplenty in this race, but with Finley Marsh claiming 7lbs on such a consistent horse we would expect him to be very close to winning this.
TAVENER 0.5 pts e/w 10/1 Generally Available